As the health care system strains under the effects of rampant obesity and its accompanying diseases and conditions, experts argue about what simply constitutes a healthy diet. As evidence and studies mount, the expectation would be a resolution of the disagreement. On the contrary, a polarization of “low carb” vs “low fat” camps has evolved, with no reconciliation in sight. With the stakes tremendous, why is this? This presentation will provide a status report on our research collaboration between Goldratt Research Labs and Professor Tim Noakes of the Sports Science Institute of South Africa. These include the use of the Change-Matrix-Cloud-Process to understand where and why individuals and professionals get stuck in the change/don’t change process, the use of an exciting artificial intelligence engine to bypass “big data” and instead mine the knowledge of experts directly, and other devices relevant not only to nutrition, but any industry as well.
Evidence of the obesity epidemic can be seen not only in expanding waist-lines, but stress on a health care system struggling with runaway costs, overworked professionals, and demand exceeding the supply of critical resources. Though increased knowledge and technological advances have led to tremendous improvements in specialized areas, there remains polarizing positions on what to do with
respect to general nutrition. What should I eat? The experts not only disagree, but this disagreement shows no signs of abating anytime soon. What should I do? What should my doctor tell me to do?
Doctors / Nutritionists face a recommendation dilemma: should I tell my patients:
- to follow a “balanced diet” (one-best solution-for-all) OR
- to follow a diet I believe is “best-for-my-patient”, based on my patient’s unique conditions)?
Consumers face a consumption dilemma: having learned new nutritional information, should I:
- change to a Low Carb High Fat (Banting) diet OR
- continue with my “eat-in-moderation” diet?
Goldratt Research Labs is collaborating with Professor Tim Noakes of the Sports Science Institute of South Africa to use the Change-Matrix-Cloud-Process via Harmony software to explore both why these dilemmas exist, and what can be done to facilitate change.
A principal reason for continued disagreement between experts lies in conflicting research results. While one study purports to show a low-fat diet as essential to long-term health, another study arises showing the opposite. As health studies contain large numbers of variables difficult to control, the result is a large amount of data at the correlation stage, leaving causality as a distant inference.
Goldratt Research Labs is also collaborating with Professor Noakes in using an artificial intelligence called TOM (Tacit Object Modelling) to bypass the problem of “big data” and instead mine the fast and frugal heuristics of the experts themselves.
The outcome of this research will be presented in a Little Logic Booklet, but in a manner where individuals can now consider their own relevant characteristics (as defined by Professor Noakes) to then perform their own dieting experiments, now with reasonable expectations. In addition to “How to achieve the Goal?” will be a brief listing of “Where people go wrong”, in order to increase the probability of success.
- The Change-Matrix-Cloud-Process is a powerful thinking process to identify the source of stagnation in a system by exposing motivations and (often) exaggerated fears and expectations of all parties.
- The classification and correlation of data, integrated with E-C-E thinking and the artificial intelligence engine of TOM, can focus attention, leading to unlocking inherent potential.
- The integration of “small experiments” in the Change-Matrix-Cloud-Process with ith simulation, is a powerful antifragile business model.
- There’s an expectation gap in my business: how we are doing vs. how I think we should be doing. How can I use the Change-Matrix-Cloud-Process to identify the cause of this gap?
- My business is inundated with data. How can I use TOM in my business to lead to better results?
- I know what I should do, and I’ve planned for all expected UDEs and “yes buts”. However, I’m fearful of things I don’t know about. How can I use simulation to enable a smoother transition to a desirable future?